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Experts Make Predictions for 2013 Hurricane Season

Hurricane season is rapidly approaching.

 

Hurricane experts predict that this year's hurricane season could be a bumpy ride, with the Atlantic region seeing several major hurricanes this year.

Just like the rest of the Atlantic, the Northern Virginia area needs to worry about getting whacked by hurricanes. Anyone who recalls Hurricane Isabel in 2003 and Hurricane Irene in 2011 remembers how destructive they can be, flooding homes and businesses in the region and knocking out power for days.

Hurricane season begins June 1, and lasts until Nov. 30, with the peak of the season from mid-August to late October.

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This year, the D.C. area could possibly see a Hurricane Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto or Ingrid (for the complete list of 2013 official hurricane names, see bottom of this story).

Although the National Hurricane Center's predictions won't come out until late May, several experts are already weighing in with their predictions of what we can expect for this year's hurricane season.

"The tropical Atlantic has anomalously warmed over the past several months, and it appears that the chances of an El Niño event this summer and fall are unlikely," thus increasing the chance of a busy season, said Phil Klotzbach, who authored the forecast with William Gray as part of the CSU Tropical Meteorology Project.

El Niño, a warming of ocean water off the west coast of South America, often depresses the Atlantic hurricane season due to higher instances of wind shear as storms develop. In its absence, the Atlantic season can be more active.

Hurricane names for 2013

When hurricanes result in massive destruction, they're banned from the list of hurricane names that are recycled by the National Hurricane Center every six years. The names are chosen and voted on by members of the World Meteorological Organization. (See the list of retired hurricane names here.) Last year's Hurricane Sandy was officially struck from the list.

The National Hurricane Center began using names for hurricanes in 1953, using female names. They began adding male names to Atlantic storms in 1979.

Here are the names for the 2013 season:

  • Andrea
  • Barry
  • Chantal
  • Dorian
  • Erin
  • Fernand
  • Gabrielle
  • Humberto
  • Ingrid
  • Jerry
  • Karen
  • Lorenzo
  • Melissa
  • Nestor
  • Olga
  • Pablo
  • Rebekah
  • Sebastien
  • Tanya
  • Van
  • Wendy

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